The Harris Gambit: Unlocking the Electoral Chessboard in 2024 (Live Updates)

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Vice President Kamala Harris, the Democratic presidential nominee, faces a tight race against former President Donald Trump in the blue wall states of Michigan, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin, which could determine her path to victory.

Harris's chances in the blue wall have improved due to a decline in Republican-leaning non-college-educated white voters and a rise in college-educated white voters who are increasingly Democratic. Additionally, growing diversity in North Carolina and Georgia, along with a leftward shift among suburban voters, could benefit Harris, though Republicans have an edge in both states.

Harris needs 270 electoral votes to win the election. She will reach that threshold if she wins all three northern swing states, plus the non-swing states won by President Joe Biden in 2020, and the electoral votes he won in Maine and Nebraska, which split their votes.

North Carolina and Georgia will be early battlegrounds, and Harris's performance there could indicate her chances elsewhere. If she outperforms expectations in these states, where Trump is currently ahead in polls, it could be a positive sign for her campaign.

Harris, 60, is the daughter of a South Indian mother and a Black father. She was born in Oakland, attended Howard University, and received her law degree from the University of California Hastings.

Harris's entrance into the race unified her party after Biden's resistance to dropping out exposed deep divisions. She has criticized Trump as a fascist and has teamed up with anti-Trump Republicans.

Harris could repeat Biden's 2020 path to victory by winning six of the seven swing states, excluding North Carolina, earning her 303 electoral votes. However, polls show Trump ahead in Arizona, North Carolina, and Georgia, making this prospect less likely.